Using Glow-worm algorithm to predict companies’ financial distress

Authors

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.33975/riuq.vol34nS3.1018

Keywords:

Glowworm Algorithm, Financial Distress, Hybrid Models, Neural Network

Abstract

One important research issue in the risk management area is to predict the financial distress of companies. This case has received great attention from banks, companies, managers, and investors. Although there are many studies on this case, the hybrid models (mixed feature selection and classifier models) have been used by researchers in recent years. The main objective of this study is to propose a high-performance predictive model and compare its results with other models that are commonly used for financial distress prediction. To do this, the Glowworm optimization algorithm-based hybrid neural network model was employed. Moreover, the neural network and logistic regression model, which is one of the statistical classifier models were used. The results indicated that the glowworm optimization algorithm (also known as firefly optimization algorithm)-based hybrid neural network model had higher performance compared to the neural network and logistic regression models.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

References

Altman, E. I. (2013). Predicting financial distress of companies: revisiting the Z-score and ZETA® models. In Handbook of research methods and applications in empirical finance. Edward Elgar Publishing.

Altman, E. I. (1968). Financial ratios, discriminant analysis and the prediction of corporate bankruptcy. The journal of finance, 23(4), 589-609.

Beaver, W. H. (1966). Financial ratios as predictors of failure. Journal of accounting research, 71-111.

Dabagh, R., & Sheikhbeiglou, S. (2021). Bankruptcy prediction of listed companies in Tehran’s Stock Exchange by artificial neural network (ANN) and fulmer model. Journal of Development and Capital, 5(2), 153-168.

Fadaei, N. M. E., & Eskandari, R. (2011). Bankruptcy prediction model in Tehran stock exchange. Journal of Accounting and Auditing Researches (Accounting Research), Iranian Accounting Association, 3(9), 1-24.

Grice, J. S., & Ingram, R. W. (2001). Tests of the generalizability of Altman’s Bankruptcy Prediction model. Journal of Business Research, 54, 53-61.

Horrigan, J. O. (1968). A short history of financial ratio analysis. The Accounting Review, 43(2), 284-294.

Jabeur, S. B., Gharib, C., Mefteh-Wali, S., & Arfi, W. B. (2021). CatBoost model and artificial intelligence techniques for corporate failure prediction. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 166, 120658.

Krishnanand, K. N., & Ghose, D. (2005, June). Detection of multiple source locations using a glowworm metaphor with applications to collective robotics. In Proceedings 2005 IEEE Swarm Intelligence Symposium, 2005. SIS 2005. (pp. 84-91). IEEE.

Medsker, L., Turban, E., & Trippi, R. R. (1993). Neural network fundamentals for financial analysts. The Journal of Investing, 2(1), 59-68.

Menhaj, M. B. (2007). Neural networks fundamentals (computational intelligence), Tehran, Amirkabir University of Industry, Fourth Edition.

Odom, M. D., & Sharda, R. (1990, June). A neural network model for bankruptcy prediction. In 1990 IJCNN International Joint Conference on neural networks (pp. 163-168). IEEE.

Rahman, M., Sa, C. L., Masud, M., & Kaium, A. (2021). Predicting firms’ financial distress: an empirical analysis using the F-score model. Journal of Risk and Financial Management, 14(5), 199.

Tam, K. Y., & Kiang, M. Y. (1992). Managerial applications of neural networks: the case of bank failure predictions. Management science, 38(7), 926-947.

Zhang, G., Hu, M. Y., Patuwo, B. E., & Indro, D. C. (1999). Artificial neural networks in bankruptcy prediction: General framework and cross-validation analysis. European journal of operational research, 116(1), 16-32.

Downloads

Published

2022-09-20

Issue

Section

Original Article

How to Cite

Using Glow-worm algorithm to predict companies’ financial distress. (2022). Revista De Investigaciones Universidad Del Quindío, 34(S3), 175-185. https://doi.org/10.33975/riuq.vol34nS3.1018